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Re: Candy Caravan Chat
Posted: Oct 26th, '18, 23:30
by Gwendolyn Quincy
Well from posting for the Halloween event I've gotten a total of eight donuts.
Re: Candy Caravan Chat
Posted: Oct 27th, '18, 00:21
by Ghost
Yummy donuts! I've gotten a few but haven't kept track of how many

Re: Candy Caravan Chat
Posted: Oct 27th, '18, 02:27
by Akili Li
Does anyone have a feel for the percentage of time posting brings donuts? Once every six posts? Less? More?
Re: Candy Caravan Chat
Posted: Oct 27th, '18, 02:59
by Ghost
I feel like it's much less often than that, maybe once every 15-20 posts? I'm not sure though, that's a very rough estimate

Re: Candy Caravan Chat
Posted: Oct 27th, '18, 09:32
by Akili Li
I almost want to try and keep track now, but I'm not a naturally organized sort of person, and the effort involved in remembering to count is offputting. Maybe after this event....
Re: Candy Caravan Chat
Posted: Oct 27th, '18, 14:15
by jacobgrey
I feel like you'd have to count a very large number of instances to get an accurate readout. Since it's based on a random percentage chance, taking say 10 examples could give you a very skewed reading.
Re: Candy Caravan Chat
Posted: Oct 27th, '18, 16:21
by memoriam
I believe the donuts are pretty random tho

They are supposed to pop up more when you post more, but that's just pure statistics. Like, the more you run, the more you have a chance to twist an ankle or something. But it's also happened to me that I've gotten a donut with the first post that day. So yeah.
Re: Candy Caravan Chat
Posted: Oct 27th, '18, 18:59
by Akili Li
jacobgrey wrote:I feel like you'd have to count a very large number of instances to get an accurate readout. Since it's based on a random percentage chance, taking say 10 examples could give you a very skewed reading.
That's true, but....
I'm kind of the typing equivalent of a blabbermouth? In person I'm pretty quiet, but online... chatterbox. I have a lot of posts. It wouldn't take much to get a much larger sample.
Re: Candy Caravan Chat
Posted: Oct 27th, '18, 19:23
by memoriam
It's really just random tho...
Re: Candy Caravan Chat
Posted: Oct 27th, '18, 19:26
by Akili Li
Well, sure!
But random to what scale? If I post a thousand times in a week, am I likely to get just 2 incidents of donuts? Or more likely to get 200?
The fairies are random, too. But they are clearly more rare than the donuts.