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Re: Candy Caravan Chat

Posted: Oct 26th, '18, 23:30
by Gwendolyn Quincy
Well from posting for the Halloween event I've gotten a total of eight donuts.

Re: Candy Caravan Chat

Posted: Oct 27th, '18, 00:21
by Ghost
Yummy donuts! I've gotten a few but haven't kept track of how many :mcconf:

Re: Candy Caravan Chat

Posted: Oct 27th, '18, 02:27
by Akili Li
Does anyone have a feel for the percentage of time posting brings donuts? Once every six posts? Less? More?

Re: Candy Caravan Chat

Posted: Oct 27th, '18, 02:59
by Ghost
I feel like it's much less often than that, maybe once every 15-20 posts? I'm not sure though, that's a very rough estimate :mcconf:

Re: Candy Caravan Chat

Posted: Oct 27th, '18, 09:32
by Akili Li
I almost want to try and keep track now, but I'm not a naturally organized sort of person, and the effort involved in remembering to count is offputting. Maybe after this event....

Re: Candy Caravan Chat

Posted: Oct 27th, '18, 14:15
by jacobgrey
I feel like you'd have to count a very large number of instances to get an accurate readout. Since it's based on a random percentage chance, taking say 10 examples could give you a very skewed reading.

Re: Candy Caravan Chat

Posted: Oct 27th, '18, 16:21
by memoriam
I believe the donuts are pretty random tho :mcconf: They are supposed to pop up more when you post more, but that's just pure statistics. Like, the more you run, the more you have a chance to twist an ankle or something. But it's also happened to me that I've gotten a donut with the first post that day. So yeah.

Re: Candy Caravan Chat

Posted: Oct 27th, '18, 18:59
by Akili Li
jacobgrey wrote:I feel like you'd have to count a very large number of instances to get an accurate readout. Since it's based on a random percentage chance, taking say 10 examples could give you a very skewed reading.
That's true, but....

I'm kind of the typing equivalent of a blabbermouth? In person I'm pretty quiet, but online... chatterbox. I have a lot of posts. It wouldn't take much to get a much larger sample.

Re: Candy Caravan Chat

Posted: Oct 27th, '18, 19:23
by memoriam
It's really just random tho...

Re: Candy Caravan Chat

Posted: Oct 27th, '18, 19:26
by Akili Li
Well, sure!

But random to what scale? If I post a thousand times in a week, am I likely to get just 2 incidents of donuts? Or more likely to get 200?

The fairies are random, too. But they are clearly more rare than the donuts.