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Re: Candy Caravan Chat

Posted: Apr 22nd, '19, 21:46
by Akili Li
I'm trying to remember, I think the next donut goal I need them for is something around 700-odd donuts.
(trying for hairs, despite those sad eyebrows).

So I'm a long ways from having that goal, but this thread is actually bizarrely generous, so I'll just keep hopefully posting here, and eventually....


Did it work, Chrizine? Did complaining here about donut needs get you some?

Re: Candy Caravan Chat

Posted: Apr 22nd, '19, 22:21
by Chrizine
No, unfortunately not. At least not yet ;)

Edit: Got two for this one :) So yes? :D

Re: Candy Caravan Chat

Posted: Apr 22nd, '19, 22:25
by Akili Li
ha ah aha, that was perfect timing!


I wonder what the actual numbers are, in terms of chances to get donuts? Anyone have any kind of statistics on it at all? I keep forgetting to track it.

Re: Candy Caravan Chat

Posted: Apr 22nd, '19, 23:19
by Chrizine
Yes :D
No idea about the actual statistics, would be interesting though!

Re: Candy Caravan Chat

Posted: Apr 22nd, '19, 23:31
by Akili Li
I suppose we could try and use this chat thread to sort of keep a running statistic? Maybe it wouldn't be a complete overview, but if every time we posted here that gave donuts we edited it to show it gave donuts, then we could go through and count up the numbers of posts-without-donuts and posts-with-donuts, maybe figure it out?

Re: Candy Caravan Chat

Posted: Apr 22nd, '19, 23:37
by Chrizine
That still only works if a lot of people participate. The sample size would be too small if we only take one thread into account otherwise. And we have to rely on people not forgetting to edit or just skip it when they're in a hurry...

Re: Candy Caravan Chat

Posted: Apr 23rd, '19, 01:52
by Nankuii
Ye... I didn't think I'd hear the words sample size or statistic outside of class haha

Re: Candy Caravan Chat

Posted: Apr 23rd, '19, 07:29
by Akili Li
ha ha, well, she has a point though. And it's useful to think about these things.

The thing is, even if we do assume that there's a statistically significant rate of under-reporting, it would still be better than one person trying to figure it out entirely on their own, right?

Re: Candy Caravan Chat

Posted: Apr 23rd, '19, 09:19
by Nankuii
Ahhhh gives me stats nightmaressss :mcargh:

Yes yes Akili lol

Re: Candy Caravan Chat

Posted: Apr 23rd, '19, 11:27
by jacobgrey
I only need like 120~ donuts for my next item, so I'm super happy about that. I can probably make enough in the interval to make it doable on the next visit. Although whenever I say that usually the caravan ends up coming when I'm too busy to post XD